George Friedman

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China and the U.S. : Back to the future

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Though China and the U.S. both have been hammered by the virus, they struggle for global leadership. The U.S. is aware of the military challenge, but the major U.S. weapon against China is an economic one.

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China vs. USA : Power and the Rise and Fall of Nations

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Although China has just permitted the WHO to investigate the offspring of the Corona crisis, many fear that China's influence could grow further. The political scientist George Friedman argues against the fear: Power is not only a question of prospering economy but also of perception.

4 Kommentare

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Coronavirus and Society : The Beginning of Social Dysfunction

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

The social system, including the family, has endured through the first month of social separation quite well. But the corona crisis will have a deep impact on society and economy. The only obvious solution is medical.

5 Kommentare

Coronavirus Outbreak : Will China be isolated?

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

China is a nation whose core dynamic is based on international trade. Under pressure from the United States, the dangerous Coronavirus would inevitably cripple that trade at best. China fears massive trade restrictions and embargoes. The Russians already screening China’s northern border

8 Kommentare

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Brexit : Fragmentation of the European Union

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

The founding principle of the EU was the unification of hitherto warring nations into a single bloc. But now the EU is moving toward an existential crisis. It may survive, but only as a coalition of nations representing a fraction of Europe. But that European identity was an illusion

54 Kommentare

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Wladimir Putin on World War II : Russia’s Puzzling Moves

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Putin felt it necessary to reopen the question of who started World War II. He is claiming that it was not the totalitarians but the liberal democracies that started World War II. Why is he doing so? The Russian President wants to change the perception of Poland from a victim nation to a historical aggressor

17 Kommentare

Iran and the United States : What comes next

ANALYSIS BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Irans goal was to demonstrate the weakness of the United States as a guarantor of regional stability. Iran can’t afford to allow Iraq to become a bastion of anti-Iran forces. But killing Qasem Soleimani was a military necessity for the United States. And so they bought time to act

21 Kommentare

Brexit : The Posh Versus the Blokes in the UK

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

What has happened in Britain is something that can be seen elsewhere. The left-wing party has become the party of the well-to-do and educated elite. The conservatives have become the party of the workers

1 Kommentare

China Cables : The Pressure on China

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Who released the documents, that got new insights in the detection of muslim Uighurs in China? Anyway, the „re-education“ of people by the Chinese government shows their turn away from liberalization. To understand what is going on in Xinjiang, one needs to understand what happens in Hong Kong

0 Kommentare

Iran, Hormus: Das „Tal der Statuen“ auf der Hormus Insel in Südiran

USA and Iran : The military options of the US

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

The United States has openly accused Iran of being behind the drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery. Now the question is what the United States will do in response

21 Kommentare

Autoreninfo

George Friedman ist einer der bekanntesten geopolitischen Analysten in den Vereinigten Staaten. Der 67 Jahre alte Politologe leitet die von ihm gegründete Denkfabrik Geopolitical Futures und ist Autor zahlreicher Bücher. Zuletzt erschien „Flashpoints – Pulverfass Europa“ im Plassen-Verlag.

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