George Friedman

Coronavirus Outbreak : Will China be isolated?

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

China is a nation whose core dynamic is based on international trade. Under pressure from the United States, the dangerous Coronavirus would inevitably cripple that trade at best. China fears massive trade restrictions and embargoes. The Russians already screening China’s northern border

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Brexit : Fragmentation of the European Union

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

The founding principle of the EU was the unification of hitherto warring nations into a single bloc. But now the EU is moving toward an existential crisis. It may survive, but only as a coalition of nations representing a fraction of Europe. But that European identity was an illusion

54 Kommentare

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Wladimir Putin on World War II : Russia’s Puzzling Moves

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Putin felt it necessary to reopen the question of who started World War II. He is claiming that it was not the totalitarians but the liberal democracies that started World War II. Why is he doing so? The Russian President wants to change the perception of Poland from a victim nation to a historical aggressor

17 Kommentare

Iran and the United States : What comes next

ANALYSIS BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Irans goal was to demonstrate the weakness of the United States as a guarantor of regional stability. Iran can’t afford to allow Iraq to become a bastion of anti-Iran forces. But killing Qasem Soleimani was a military necessity for the United States. And so they bought time to act

21 Kommentare

Brexit : The Posh Versus the Blokes in the UK

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

What has happened in Britain is something that can be seen elsewhere. The left-wing party has become the party of the well-to-do and educated elite. The conservatives have become the party of the workers

1 Kommentare

China Cables : The Pressure on China

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Who released the documents, that got new insights in the detection of muslim Uighurs in China? Anyway, the „re-education“ of people by the Chinese government shows their turn away from liberalization. To understand what is going on in Xinjiang, one needs to understand what happens in Hong Kong

0 Kommentare

Iran, Hormus: Das „Tal der Statuen“ auf der Hormus Insel in Südiran

USA and Iran : The military options of the US

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

The United States has openly accused Iran of being behind the drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery. Now the question is what the United States will do in response

21 Kommentare

Russias support for the European right : Agitprop – a combination of agitation and propaganda

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

There have been several stories that Russia supports the European right. Indeed it may be supporting anti-immigration groups, but it will make no difference to geopolitical forces in Europe

21 Kommentare

El Paso and Dayton : Banning guns will not work

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Last weekend, there were two more mass shootings in the United States. Nevertheless those who are in favor of guns have disproportionate strength. To address the question of how to mitigate mass murders in the U.S., we need to consider the deeper historical connection between guns and liberty

18 Kommentare

Russia and the West : A Trip to Romania

VON GEORGE FRIEDMAN

Russia’s ability to regain its geopolitical balance remains a threat to Romania, and the source of the only real threat to the region. A Russian sense of vulnerability can cause it, or other nations, to take risks they shouldn’t

2 Kommentare

Autoreninfo

George Friedman ist einer der bekanntesten geopolitischen Analysten in den Vereinigten Staaten. Der 67 Jahre alte Politologe leitet die von ihm gegründete Denkfabrik Geopolitical Futures und ist Autor zahlreicher Bücher. Zuletzt erschien „Flashpoints – Pulverfass Europa“ im Plassen-Verlag.

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